Mexico back on track New York January 9, 2013

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1 Mexico back on track New York January 9, 2013

2 01. GDP real growth Source : SHCP y BCB México Brasil 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii

3 01. Private consumption Source: INEGI y BCB 10% Annual growth México Brasil 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii iii iv i ii

4 01. Retail sales 10% Source: INEGI Real annual growth 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% -10% e f m a m j j a s o n d e f m a m j j a s o n d e f m a m j j a s o n d e f m a m j j a s o n d e f m a m j j a s o n d e f m a m j j a s o n d e f m a m j j a

5 01. Employment Source: IMSS 16 Millions of workers emmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s nemmj s

6 01. Gross Fixed Investment Source: INEGI Real annual growth Total Machinery and equipment 25% 15% 5% -5% -15% -25% -35% e m m j s n e m m j s n e m m j s n e m m j s n e m m j s n e m m j s n e m m j s n e m m j s n e m m j s

7 01. Bank Lending Activity Source: INEGI Real annual growth Total Consumer Housing Firm 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% j m m j s n j m m j s n j m m j s n j m m j s n j m m j s n j m m j s n j m m j s n j m m j

8 01. Mexico s Export Performance 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% e f m a m j j a s o n d e f m a m j j a s o n d e f m a m j j a s o n d e f m a m j j a s o n d e f m a m j j a s Source: INEGI */ Over the same moth last year. Total exports Manufacturing

9 01. Market share: name of the game Source: USDOC US imports (except oil) Market share % 22.3% 19.8% 14.3% 13.0% 12.6% 12.3% 11.9% 10.9% 8.8% 7.1% 8.1% 6.1% 5.5% 5.7% 2.9% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.2% 2.2% China Mexico Canada Japan Germany South Korea UK France

10 01/01/ /03/ /05/ /07/ /09/ /11/ /01/ /03/ /05/ /07/ /09/ /11/ /01/ /03/ /05/ /07/ /09/ /11/ /01/ /03/ /05/ /07/ /09/ /11/ /01/ /03/ /05/ /07/ /09/ /11/ /01/ /03/ /05/ /07/ /09/ /11/ /01/ /03/ /05/ /07/ /09/ /11/ /01/ /03/ /05/ /07/ Yuan has reevaluated Source: INEGI 110 Annual growth Nominal: yuanes per pesos Nominal: yuanes per dollars

11 01. Sound public finances: low debt to GDP ratio Source: IMF Gross debt as a percentage of the GDP 110% 107% 100% 94% 90% 80% 70% US Eurozone Mexico 60% 50% 43% 40% 30%

12 01. Source: Banxico and OCDE 80 Sound public finances: longer debt maturity than ever before Average term to maturity for Total Government debt (months) Mexico US

13 Presidential Elections 2012 was more of a three way race Neither PAN PAN nor PRD 25.41% collapsed PRI 38.21% PRD 31.59% Source: IFE, preliminary results

14 01. Possible coalition Constitutional reforms require qualified majority (2/3) Federal law reforms require an absolute majority (>50%) House of Congress PRI + PVEM + Panal: 250 (50%) PRI + PAN: 323 (64.6%) PRI + PRD: 306 (61.2%) Senate PRI + PVEM + Panal: 63 (49.2%) PRI + PAN: 91 (71.1%) PRI + PRD: 75 (58.6%) Source: Reforma

15 01. A Pact for Mexico Policy Legal Reform Fiscal Reform Universal health insurance No Yes Elderly pension system Yes Yes Unemployment insurance Yes Yes Education reform No No Mexico Institutes in different countries Yes Yes Universal broadband access Yes No Competition in television entertainment industry Yes No Competition in the telecom sector Yes No Increase investment in Science and Technology to 1 percent of the GDP No Yes

16 01. A Pact for Mexico Policy Legal Reform Fiscal Reform Transformation of Pemex Yes Yes Competition in gasoline supply chain Yes No Fiscal responsibilities for federal and municipal entities Yes No National plan for prevention and social participation No Yes Coordination between Federal and State level policies Yes Yes National Police Force Yes Yes New justice system No Yes Single criminal code Yes No Integral reform for the prison system No Yes Homologate local transparency institutions No Yes National and state level anti corruption commission Yes No

17 01. Mexico s challenges More competition in key sectors Rule of law Increase access to technology Education reforms Violence Approval of reforms Source: The Economist

18 01. The Rise of Mexico

19 01. Brazil takes off

20 01. France: time bomb

21 01. Nafta will make you strong

22 T P P TPP is the only game in town, being the most ambitious multilateral trade negotiation taking place. EPN s new government has repeatedly expressed its commitment with the agreement. This in turn confirms a now longstanding Mexican commitment with open markets and free trade is the critical year for TPP.

23 02. Mexican textile and apparel Performance Indicator * GDP (annual growth %) -7.1% 8.3% 3.5% 3.3% Indicator Employment (1) 388, , ,638 4 Retail sales (annual rate) 8.0% 4.2% 2.0% 3 Source: INEGI, IMSS and Banxico. (1) Jobs Sept 2011 (2) Cumulative 2Q 2012 (3) August 2012 (3) September

24 02. US Textile and Apparel total imports Top suppliers Share (%) (January Aug 2012) Source: OTEXA.ITA Mexico: 6 th in th in 2012 supplier the US Market China Vietnam India México Indonesia Bangladesh Pakistán Honduras Camboya

25 02. US Textile and Apparel total exports Top markets Share (%) (January Aug 2012) 21.7% 17.4% 13.6% Mexico: 2nd destiny of US Exports 6.1% 3.0% 2.7% 2.7% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% China México Canadá Honduras Turquía República Dominicana El Salvador Corea del Sur Japón Reino Unido 25

26 02. US Apparel imports from Mexico US apparel imports from Mexico 4.11% 3.27% 3.26% % Share in US$ value Product US$ M Cotton Apparel 1,596 Wool Apparel 155 MMF Apparel % 13.73% 5.03% 42.17% Cotton Apparel MMF Apparel MMF Non-Appare Made Ups / Mis Fabrics Wool Apparel Yarns Others 19.91% 26

27 02. Mexico your best options for sourcing denim and jeans 2012: Mexico 1st. supplier of Men Denim Trousers * % Share US total imports *HS USA: Source: OTEXA 27

28 02. Mexico: a whole opportunity beyond denim Item Rank % Share(value) Wool Shirts/Blouses, Not-Knit % M/B Cot. Trousers/Breeches/Shorts % M/B Suits, Wool % M/B Wool Trousers/Breeches/Shorts % M/B Not-Knit MMF Shirts % Other MMF Manufactures % Other Cotton Apparel % Cotton Hosiery % M/B Suit-Type Coats, Wool % M/B MMF Sweaters 3 9.5% Other M/B Coats, Cotton 3 8.7% M/B MMF Knit Shirts 4 8.1% Wool Hosiery 4 8.1% M/B MMF Trousers/Breeches/Shorts 5 7.1% Cotton Gloves And Mittens 3 7.1% MMF Gloves And Mittens 4 6.3% Other MMF Apparel 3 5.4% W/G MMF Knit Shirts / Blouses 5 5.3%

29 02. Mexican denim for your jeans sourcing in CAFTA-DR 2012 jan-nov 63.1% % 16.2 Fill rate Imports (millions SME) %

30 02. Mexico: a whole opportunity beyond denim Yarns (cotton/mmf) Knitt shirts (M/B, W/G) % Share US total imports 1st supplier -Men s T-shirts MMF (26%) 2nd supplier - Men s cotton T-shirt (14%) Hosiery 4th supplier - Cotton hosiery (14%)

31 02. Mexico: a whole opportunity beyond denim Cotton trousers (other than denim) Sport wear (M/B, W/G) Shits 1st supplier - Men s cotton trousers (22%) (no denim) 1st supplier - Men s trousers MMF (19%) (no denim) 1st supplier -Men s cotton jumpsuits (64%) 1st supplier -Men s jumpsuits MMF (69%) 3th Supplier - Men s shirts MMF (18%) % Share US total imports

32 02. Mexico: a whole opportunity beyond denim Suits 3th supplier - Men s suits of wool (17%) % Share US total imports Sweaters 3th supplier (7%) - Women and girls MMF Swimwear (M/B, W/G) 5th supplier - Women and girls swimwear (9%) Non woven garments 1st supplier - Surgical drapes (52%)

33 03. MEXiCO FiTS Initiative MEXiCO FiTS is an initiative of the fiber-textile-apparel Mexican supply chain and supported by the Government to work closer with our international customers, in their relentless search for sourcing opportunities.

34 03. MEXiCO FiTS MEXiCO FiTS has been working with each customer s request to identify reliable Mexican suppliers of the textile-apparel chain and providing them with all the assistance needed for a successful business experience.

35 03. Mexico s textile and apparel transformation Competition as main driver Low and lower MFN duties Anti-dumping duties from China eliminated in December 2011 Average MFN % Textiles 8 Apparel 21 Applied (including FTA s) % Textiles 3 Apparel 19

36 03. Mexico s textile and apparel transformation Proliferation of Retailers in Mexican Market: o Growth in retail stores. o H&M, Gap, Express, Old Navy. MEXiCO FiTS Main Objective: o Increase market shares in Mexico Gain ground on informality Brands Vertical Integration Increase Market Share in US o Competitiveness o Solutions for clients o Repositioning of Mexico

37 03. Services We bring customers close to the industry by understanding specific needs and market segments in which they operate. We provide the best options to effectively fulfill sourcing expectations. We team up with customers to give a fast response and tailormade agenda for visits in Mexico. We handle for visits. Information related to clothing our customers carry, as well as materials they require to manufacture it, so they can preselect suppliers that best meet their manufacturing requirements.

38 03. Services We are also the best source of information relative to: o Sourcing assets o Clothing specifications o Market trends o Import and export procedures o Retail opportunities in Mexico o Compliance o Regulatory framework o Preferential access

39 03. Service enhancement during the last year We have cooperated with global companies in the analysis and processing of the information on the textile industry operating in Mexico: strengths, major exporters, and producers. MEXiCO FiTS has developed specific services to meet concrete demands of global customers in a personalized way, becoming a widely appreciated business tool thanks to its flexibility and commitment.

40 03. EPN s Commitment to the textile industry National Innovation and Fashion Center of the Textile and Garment industry Objective: To drive competitiveness in the textile-fiber-garmentcommerce chain of value through innovation, design, fashion and technological development.

41 03. EPN s Commitment to the textile industry The 20 th of May, Peña Nieto signed a written commitment to: Support the National Innovation and fashion Center of the Textile and Garment Industry, based out of the state of Hidalgo. Both CANAINTEX and CANAIVE are directly involved in the project.

42 03. EPN s Commitment to the textile industry Services that the Center will provide: Innovation and technological development Regularization Certification First-class reference laboratory Intelligence unit Fashion and design Human resources formation

43 03. MEXiCO FiTS upcoming events The MEXiCO FiTS Initiative has a very ambitious agenda, and thus has secured slots in major fashion shows and events in the coming years: o Colombiatex o Sourcing at Magic Las Vegas o Stand Alone New York

44 03. MEXiCO FiTS: your trusted partner for succesful sourcing in Mexico For more information please contact: Mariam Yitani MEXiCO FiTS Director Tel

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