BULLETIN December 2016 Welcome to the third bulletin of the for 2016. Click on any link below to be redirected to the full online version of the bulletin. Please forward this email onto interested parties or signup if you do not receive the newsletter already. Articles in the bulletin are Recent Events: Innovation Sessions, Executive Training Session Feature Article Industry News 1. RECENT EVENTS 1.1 SENTINEL WORKWEAR: TAKT FLOW LINE LAYOUT The hosted an innovation session focused on TAKT Time at Excel Clothing. TAKT time is a methodology used to optimise the flow of production lines in keeping with customer demand. Presented by Jan Visagie, a lean expert, the session was intended to assist firms in reviewing their own line layout. 1.2 GELVENOR TEXTILES: TOTAL QUALITY MANAGEMENT In collaboration with Gelvenor textiles, the hosted an Innovation Session focused on Total Quality Management (TQM). TQM is a management system for a customer-focused organization that involves all employees in continual improvement. It uses strategy, data, and effective communications to integrate the quality discipline into the culture and activities of the organization. The well attended session was aimed at furthering members understanding of TQM 1.3 EXECUTIVE TRAINING SESSION: INVESTMENT CLIMATE STUDY The hosted an Executive Training session on the 19 th of October preceding the Exco meeting. Executives were invited to learn about a recent B&M Analysts study on the investment climate in South Africa. The study considered the key issues impacting on private sector investment in South Africa s productive economy. The study s major strength is that is accurately captures the investment perceptions of leading industrialists in South Africa. The is funded by:
Other events organised by the are as follows: 2016 Date Event Executive 20 July Exco Meeting 19 October Exco Meeting 19 October Executive Training Session: Investment Climate Study 23 November Black Industrialists Scheme Briefing World Class Manufacturing 13 June Innovation Session: Optimising Line Layout using TAKT Time (Excel Clothing) 17 August Innovation Session: Optimising Line Layout using TAKT Time (Sentinel Workwear) 13 October Innovation Session: Implementing Total Quality Management (Gelvenor Textiles) Small and Medium Enterprises April- November SME Firms Priority Setting and Direct Intervention Skills Development Programme 30 August Commencement of Marburg (Port Shepstone) TRACE The is funded by:
US$ billions 2 A SUMMARY OF THE STATE OF THE LOCAL AND GLOBAL CLOTHING AND TEXTILES INDUSTRY This article is structured to take a look to international, local and firm-level trends to understand the performance of the clothing and textiles industry in totality. It commences with a look at global trade to understand the move import and export patterns in clothing, textiles and household textiles. The next section takes a look at imports and exports in South and analyses the performance of the South African Industry as a whole. The subsequent then analyses international and local retailer data to understand comparative retailer performance. The last section is a look at the aggregated benchmark data for firms within the and CCTC to assess performance improvements observed over the last few years. 2.1 GLOBAL TRADE ANALYSIS In this section, International Trade Centre s Trademap database is used to review trade trends for imports and exports for clothing, textiles and household textiles internationally. We then look at the growth data (indexed to 2007) for the top 10 nations in terms of imports and exports across clothing, textiles and household textiles. Clothing and finished household textiles are a significant component of overall international trade. As seen in the graph, global trade declined in the 2014 to 2015 period following 3 years of sustained growth. Global Trade Overview 2007-2015 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200-66 62 56 61 56 52 58 54 56 45 51 41 43 48 40 45 41 43 409 328 342 350 361 347 397 407 445 473 376 395 419 415 459 315 316 342 216 238 224 244 182 200 222 248 267 295 251 281 259 295 266 296 250 266 Textiles Clothing Household Textiles Source: http://www.trademap.org/ The is funded by:
2.1.1 Global Textile & Growth The global import of textiles has experienced declines in the 2014 to 2015 period. Only the USA and Hong Kong have shown import growth over this timeframe. The USA, Indonesia and Germany have experienced the greatest import growth rates since 2007. 500 Global Textile Growth - Indexed to 2007 400 300 200 - China USA Viet Nam Hong Kong, China Germany Turkey Italy Bangladesh Indonesia Mexico The global export of textiles declined in the 2014 to 2015 period. China and the USA have seen the best growth since 2007, although they have also seen declines in 2015. Even Turkey with historically high export growth has experienced a sharp decline. 250 Global Textile Growth - Indexed to 2007 200 150 50 China India USA Germany Korea, Republic of Italy Taipei, Chinese Turkey Japan Belgium Source: http://www.trademap.org/ The is funded by:
2.1.2 Global Clothing & Growth Looking at the top 10 import countries, there is a mixed performance with Hong Kong showing the strongest growth trend. Belgium, as the 10 th largest importing nation, has been excluded in the clothing imports graph due to data discrepancies 250 Global Clothing Growth - Indexed to 2007 200 150 50 USA Germany Japan United Kingdom France Italy Spain Hong Kong, China Netherlands have declined in the 2014 to 2015 period, following two years of sustained growth. Even Turkey with historically high export growth has experienced a sharp decline. 300 Global Clothing Growth - Indexed to 2007 250 200 150 50 China Bangladesh Italy Viet Nam Germany India Turkey Spain France Belgium Source: http://www.trademap.org/ The is funded by:
2.1.3 Global Household Textile & Growth Household textiles imports seen an overall increase since 2007, albeit erratically. This is in line with the exports growth 200 Global Household Textiles Growth - Indexed to 2007 150 50 USA Germany Japan France United Kingdom Canada Netherlands Belgium Italy Australia Household textiles imports seen an overall increase since 2007, albeit erratically. This is in line with 300 Global Household Textiles Growth - Indexed to 2007 250 200 150 50 China India Pakistan Germany Turkey USA United Kingdom Belgium Netherlands Bangladesh Source: http://www.trademap.org/ The is funded by:
US$ millions 2.2 SOUTH AFRICA TRADE DATA In this section, we use the International Trade Centre s Trademap database to review trade trends for imports and exports for clothing, textiles and household textiles in South Africa. There is also a review of both the sales and the sales growth of textiles, clothing, leather and footwear in South Africa, to show the relative sizes of these sectors as well as their growth patterns. South Africa is by far a net importer of clothing and finished household textiles, imports more than double the size of exports. Between 2011 and 2015, there has been a slow, but consistent, decline in imports and exports in South Africa. 4 000 South African Trade 2007-2015 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 160 164 145 216 1 521 267 1 788 270 1 665 271 1 761 244 1 725 239 1 736 1 500 1 000 500 0 896 989 104 53 554 895 978 98 70 491 967 868 86 74 415 1 089 153 390 556 1 359 167 453 697 1 267 159 440 674 1 256 163 450 676 1 249 160 456 638 1 206 144 426 590 Textiles Clothing Household Textiles Source: http://www.trademap.org/ The is funded by:
ZAR MILLIONS 2.2.1 South Africa Sales Data The South African clothing and textile industry has been seeing consistent growth since 2012. This follows a marked decline between 2008 and 2011, primarily as a result of the influx of cheap imports. Textiles, Clothing, Leather and Footwear Sales 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Textiles Other textile products Knitted, crocheted articles Wearing apparel Leather and leather products Footwear Although Wearing Apparel and Other Textile Products are by far the largest sub-sectors, footwear as well as leather and leather products have seen the largest growth. With the exception of Knitted, crocheted articles, all sectors have experienced consistent growth, however this growth has slowed in the 2014 to 2015 period. Textiles, Clothing, Leather and Footwear Sales Growth (Indexed To 2007) 190 170 150 130 110 90 70 50 Textiles Other textile products Knitted, crocheted articles Wearing apparel Leather and leather products Footwear Source: http://www.statssa.gov.za/ The is funded by:
2.3 RETAILER TRADE DATA In this section we analyse international and South African retailer performance. All data in this section is extracted from company annual financial statements. For comparative purposes, we have categorised financial data according to the calendar year rather than financial year; that is, the calendar year in which most of the financial year occurred. From an international performance perspective, Inditex and H&M remain the front runners in terms of Gross Margin Return on Inventory Investment (GMROII) and growth. In South Africa, as with international retailers, the correlation between sales growth and GMROII is strong for South African retailers. In terms of retailer growth, Woolworths has experienced remarkable due to the purchase of David Jones, whilst the other retailers have experienced relatively low growth. 2.3.1 International Retailer: Average sales growth vs GMROII GMROII is an indicator of the gross profit a firm generates per rand it has invested in inventory. Firms that proactively reduce inventory in their supply chain through the implementation of quick response practices tend to have higher GMROIIs. Inditex and H&M have continually experienced strong growth, whilst JC Penney and FCUK are notable for their poor GMROII and related negative sales growth. Source: Retailer Annual Financial Statements The is funded by:
2.3.2 South Africa Retailer: Average sales growth vs GMROII Firms that are seeking to shorten lead times through more innovative sourcing, such as Mr Price and Woolworths, are those that are showing the most promising growth. Truworths bucks the trend with moderate growth on the back of a very high GMROII 2.3.3 South Africa Retailer Sales Growth Sales growth has generally remained low proportional to annual inflation. MRP has maintained growth on the back of its cash based, value model. Woolworth's dramatic growth in 2015 is affected by the purchase of David Jones 45.0% SA Retailer: Sales Growth Trends 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% -5.0% Edcon TFG Mr Price Woolworths Truworths 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 Source: Retailer Annual Financial Statements The is funded by:
% GROWTH 2.4 BENCHMARK DATA Through the annual benchmarking activities conducted through both the and CCTC, data related to is collected. It is possible to observe clear trends for key indicators experienced by. Looking at the data in this section, it is clear that are experiencing performance improvements. This is having an impact on their bottom line, with average sales increasing by 21.5% above inflation between 2012 and 2015. From an operational perspective, South African manufacturers tend to hold high levels of raw materials to account for the unreliability and inflexibility of fabric supply. In general South African clothing and textile manufacturers are making successful efforts to improve internal quality management and to improve flexibility and reliability. Key indicators observed are firm growth, efficiency, cost control, reliability, flexibility and quality. These are all indicators essential to the sustained growth and profitability of clothing and textile manufacturers. 2.4.1 Firm Growth 2012-2015 SA firms have shown strong sales growth since 2012, with footwear firms growing the most aggressively. Cluster firm growth can be attributed to a variety of factors including improved lean understanding and production process, strategic partnering with retail partner as well as sustained government support. 150 Inflation Adjusted Sales (Domestic Currency) Indexed To 2012 140 130 120 110 2012 2013 2014 2015 SA Man.00 102.57 108.21 121.48 SA Textiles.00 101.44 111.62 119.41 SA Footwear.00 113.63 135.59 142.13 Source: B&M Analysts benchmarking Database The is funded by:
Days Rands (000 s) 2.4.2 Efficiency 2012-2015 Efficiency can be deduced by assessing the amount of value added (VA) by each employee at a firm. Textiles, as a more capital intensive industry with more skilled labour, shows a far high VA than clothing manufacturers. A per employee is increasing year on year per sector. This is specifically marked in the SA clothing manufacturing industry 300 N o m i n a l VA Pe r E m p l o y e e 250 200 150 50 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 SA Footwear 149.89 SA Clothing 94.64 65.91 69.16 114.13 SA Textiles 225.60 220.02 248.76 278.02 2.4.3 Cost Control 2012-2015 Inventory holdings are an indicator of how well a firm manages cost. It is advantageous for firms to keep inventory levels low. Between 2012 and 2015, SA firms have managed to reduce inventory holdings owing to improved pre-production planning and production management. 25 F G, W I P A n d R M I n v e n tor y H o l d i n g 20 15 10 5 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 Inter Clothing 10.46 Inter Textiles 23.77 SA Footwear 11.96 SA Clothing 11.59 10.81 11.00 9.86 SA Textiles 19.92 14.87 12.78 11.39 Source: B&M Analysts benchmarking Database The is funded by:
Percentage Percentage 2.4.4 Reliability 2012 2015 Delivery reliability to customers is an essential aspect of the competitiveness of the clothing, textile and footwear industry. SA firms have steadily improved their delivery reliability between 2012 to 2015. D o m e s t i c C u s t o m e r O T I F R e l i a b i l i t y Pe r f o r m a n c e 80 60 40 20 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 Inter Man 94.89 Inter Textiles 93.96 SA Footwear 85.75 SA Man 88.49 91.16 93.30 94.42 SA Textiles 89.42 91.46 92.40 94.35 Machine breakdowns can greatly reduce the overall reliability of a value chain. Reducing breakdown times through preventative maintenance is thus beneficial to firms. The graph shows that SA firms have managed to consistently improve their internal reliability, by reducing the time lost to machine breakdowns To t a l P r o d u c t i o n T i m e L o s t To M a c h i n e B r e a kd o w n s 4 3 2 1 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 Inter Man 2.87 Inter Textiles 2.07 SA Footwear 0.74 SA Man 2.48 1.89 1.60 1.54 SA Textiles 3.67 3.01 2.35 2.04 Source: B&M Analysts benchmarking Database The is funded by:
Percentage Percentage 2.4.5 Flexibility 2012 2015 As retailers increasingly embrace Quick Response as a sourcing strategy, it is essential for firms and suppliers to be flexible (i.e. change between styles efficiently). Since 2012, SA clothing manufacturers and textile firms have shown consistent improvements in flexibility (changeover times), indicating improved production planning. To t a l P r o d u c t i o n T i m e L o s t To S t y l e C h a n g e o v e r s 5 4 3 2 1 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 Inter Man 4.24 Inter Textiles 2.92 SA Footwear 1.57 SA Man 3.85 3.77 3.75 2.51 SA Textiles 3.89 3.71 3.06 2.83 2.4.6 Quality 2012 2015 Reduced internal rework/repair rates would tend to indicate that firms are managing quality problems at source as opposed to dealing with them at the end of the line. Repairs or reworks are impressively low in the SA textile industry, but above international comparators in the clothing industry. 5 I n t e r n a l R e w o r k / Re p a i r R a t e 4 3 2 1 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 Inter Man 3.48 Inter Textiles 1.75 SA Footwear 1.34 SA Man 4.77 4.04 3.61 4.03 SA Textiles 2.06 1.93 1.46 1.49 Source: B&M Analysts benchmarking Database The is funded by:
3 INDUSTRY NEWS 3.1 SUPPLY CHAIN NEWS SA uniquely positioned to tap into exotic leather market: Davies By: TMG Digital, 30 May 2016 South Africa is uniquely positioned to tap into the international luxury and exotic leather market and to develop a world-class local exotic leather industry according to Minister of Trade and Industry Rob Davies. Clothing industry: Made in China in SA By: Claire Bisseker, 16 September 2016 If there was ever any doubt that a trade-off exists between higher wages and employment, the destruction of livelihoods in the Newcastle clothing industry over the past few years should dispel it. Saddler Belts wins Small Exporter Award By: Durban Chamber, 21 October 2016 The winners of the 16 th edition of the 2016 KZN Exporter of the Year Awards, a partnership between Transnet Port Terminals [TPT] and the Durban Chamber of Commerce & Industry [DCCI], were announced at a glitzy gala banquet held at the inkosi Albert Luthuli International Convention Centre in Durban on Thursday night, the 20 th of October 2016. Gelvenor scoops international IFF Innovation Award By: Innovation Textiles, 11 November 2016 The Industrial Fabrics Foundation (IFF) has announced Gelvenor Textiles as the 2016 IFF Innovation Award winner for the development of the microfiltration fabric component for the VulAmanz Water Systems Rural Water Filter (VA-RWF). The is funded by:
3.2 RETAILER NEWS Stuttafords to file for business rescue By: Philippa Larkin, 31 October 2016 Stuttafords, once a top retailer in South Africa, said on Friday that it was seeking voluntary business rescue as it battles slowing consumer spending and fierce competition. Retailers take a beating amid tight trade By: Sandie Mchunu, 14 November 21=016 Local retailers' share prices took a beating on Friday after Woolworths reported a decline in its sales with consumers discretionary spending under pressure. Edcon returns to profit By: John Bowker, 22 November 2016 Edcon Holdings returned to profit in the second quarter after debt repayment costs eased following the exit of US private equity firm Bain Capital, while South Africa s biggest clothing retailer cleared unwanted stock to boost sales over the busy festive period 4 YOUR IDEAS If you have any ideas for improvement or would just like to get in touch, please contact Zama Ngcobo: The 031 764 6 (office) kznctc@bmanalysts.com The is funded by: