Centre for Trade Facilitation and Research in Textiles Textile Economic Intelligence (WEEK ENDING 07-07-2018) NEWS HIGHLIGHTS: Drop in Chinese demand hurts cotton yarn exports. Vietnam s Textile-Garment Exports Grow Robustly. Centre s 28% Hike In Cotton MSP Expected to Ease Domestic Supply. H&M India Retail Chain Register 19% Growth. BANGLADESH: Export fetches $36.66bn in FY18. 25 Indian Punjab textile players to expand units in Bihar. Technical textiles industry to grow at 20% y-o-y. India s apparel exports downturn likely to continue. Higher cotton MSP worries textiles sector. Bombay Dyeing targets Rs.5 billion in revenues. H&M announces one more store in Chennai (India). TEA urges textile mills to save knitwear garment export sector. Apparel exports to decline by 10 per cent in FY19 due to GST.
GLOBAL ECONOMIC NEWS a) Euro appreciated against Dollar by 0.70% from 0.859 per dollar on 2nd July 18 to 0.853 per dollar on 6th July 18 and Japanese Yen appreciated against dollar by 0.09% from 110.72 per dollar on 2nd July 18 to 110.62 per dollar on 6th July 18. b) Brent Crude oil price index decreased by 0.22% from 2nd July 18 to 6th July 18. It decreased from $77.30 per barrel on 2nd July 18 to $77.13 per barrel on 6th July 18. c) Cot Look an Index decreased by 1.76% from 93.75 cents/pound on 2nd July 18 to 92.1 cents/pound on 6th July 18. d) The US stock market indicator Dow Jones Went up by 0.61% from 24307.18 on 2nd July 18 to 24456.48 on 6th July 18. In Asian market, NIKKEI (Japanese market) came down by 0.11% from 21811.93 on 2nd July 18 to 21788.14 on 6th July 18. SSE Composite came down by 1.06% from 2775.77 on 2nd July 18 to 2746.48 on 6th July 18 and Hang sang came down by 2.21% from 28955.11 on 2nd July 18 to 28315.62 on 6th July 18.
INDIAN ECONOMIC NEWS EXCHANGE RATE: The Rupee depreciated by 0.36% from Rs 68.62/$ on 2nd July 18 to Rs. 68.87/$ on 6th July 18 weaken by Rs. 0.25. FINANCIAL MARKET TRENDS: The Sensex went up by 393.45 points or 1.12% from 35264.41 on 2nd July 18 to 35657.86 on 6th July 18. The Nifty went up by 115.35 points or 1.08% from 10657.3 on 2nd July 18 to 10772.65 on 6th July 18. CHANGE IN FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES: India s Foreign exchange reserves decreased by $1.757 bn. to reach $406.058. On 6th July 18 from $407.815 bn. On 29 th June 18.
GLOBAL TEXTILE NEWS CHINA EXPORTS OF TEXTILE AND GARMENTS FOR THE MONTH OF MAY 2018: The Textile Exports by China increased by 8% to $11244 Mn in May 2018 as compared to corresponding month last year when it stood at $10406 Mn. Whereas, the Garment Export by China also decreased by 6% to $12201 Mn in May 2018 as compared to corresponding month last year when it stood at $13000 Mn. Hence, the overall Export of Textiles and Garments by China increased by 0.17% The year-to-date Exports of Textiles & Garments increased by 2.6% from $99 bn in 2017 to $102 bn in 2018 China Export of Garment and Textiles, May 2018 (USD Mn) S.NO. COMMODITY VALUE (May) % Change YTD (Jan-May) % Change 2018 2017 18/17 2018 2017 18/17 Textile yarn, fabrics and made-up 11244 8 1 articles 10406 47623 43488 10 2 Garments and clothing accessories 12201 13000-6 54838 56424-2.8 Total 23445 23405 0.17 102461 99912 2.6 of which: Cotton yarn 167 151 11 800 663 21 Cotton woven fabrics 1438 1319 9 5974 5628 6 Woven fabrics of synthetic staple 230 20 1015 fibres 191 890 Garments, not knitted nor 5020-11 23114-9 crocheted 5651 25366 Garments, knitted or crocheted 4741 5004-5 21154 21158 0 14 BANGLADESH TEXTILES & APPAREL EXPORT INCREASED BY 8.7% IN JUL-JUNE 2018: The total Textiles & Apparels Exports of Bangladesh to World for the month of June 2018 decreased to $2669.55 Mn from $2672.54 Mn in the corresponding month last year registering a negative growth rate of 8.7%. The cumulative Exports of Bangladesh from July 2017 to June 2018 increased from $30244.6 Mn to $ 32872.0Mn registering a positive growth of 8.7%. The highest share in Bangladesh Exports remained of Knitted fabric which stood at $1248Mn. The Second highest share was Woven fabric of which was exported for the value of $ 1238Mn.
HS Code Bangladesh Textiles & Apparels Exports to World (USD Mn) Description June 2018 Cumulative Exports (July 2017- June 2018) Cumulative Exports (July 2016- June 2017) % Change 52 Cotton 8 125 109 14.0 Other vegetable textile fibres; paper yarn and 53 woven fabrics of paper yarn 54 903 835 8.1 54 Man-made filaments 3 46 39 18.6 55 Man-made staple fibres 2 24 21 14.4 Wadding, felt and non-wovens; special yarns; 56 twine, cordage, ropes & cables 2 32 41-22.2 57 Carpets and other textile floor coverings 1 17 18-2.9 58 Special woven fabrics; lace and tapestries 48 49 52-5.7 Impregnated, coated, covered or laminated 59 textile fabrics; industrial use 1 17 16 4.0 60 Knitted or crocheted fabrics 3 44 38 16.5 61 Knit 1248 15189 13757 10.4 62 Woven 1238 15426 14393 7.2 63 Made ups 60 1002 927 8.1 GRAND TOTAL 2669.6 32872.0 30244.6 8.7 Drop in Chinese demand hurts cotton yarn exports Exports declined 16.3% during the timeframe even though yarn production increased 3.5% between 2013-14 and 2017-18. The share of exports in total yarn production has come down to 27% in 2017-18 from 33% in 2013-14. India s share has dropped to around 26% in 2017 from 30% in 2015 inspite of remaining the largest exporter of cotton yarn in the world. Supplies from Vietnam do not attract any such tariff, meanwhile Indian cotton yarn attracts 3.5%-5% import duty in China. Vietnam s yarn exports to China, which stood at 287 mkgs in 2013-14, has surged to 718 mkgs in 2017-18. India, which exported 603 mkgs of yarn to China in 2013-14, has now lost the tag of the biggest supplier to the neighbour to Vietnam. TEXPROCIL has suggested the union commerce ministry to get zero duty benefits for Indian cotton yarn by commencing talks through forums such as APTA (Asia-Pacific Trade Agreement) and RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership). Vietnam has become the second largest cotton yarn exporter in the world with a nearly 20% market share in 2017.The decline in India s yarn exports to China was to some extent compensated by the increase in exports to Bangladesh, Turkey, Portugal, Pakistan and Egypt. With China, the largest buyer, reducing its cotton purchases sharply, yarn exports declined 8.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) to 1097.4 million kgs (mkgs) in 2017-18. Exports however advanced 2.2% y-o-y in value terms to $3.42 billion during the year.yarn exports to China fell 30.7% y-oy to 315.36 million kgs (mkgs) in 2017-18. Exports to the neighbour decreased 18.3% y-o-y in value terms to $858.8 million in 2017-18. By chance, China is the largest importer of cotton yarn with a share of 46.7% in global imports.
Vietnam s Textile-Garment Exports Grow Robustly Vietnamese garment exports have started looking up in a big way this year. The figures for garment textile exports are expected to touch the USD 35 billion mark. This happens to be higher than the target that was set up at the beginning of the year. The contributing factors for this surge in exports are large number of orders from foreign partners and healthy prospects of the world and domestic economies. According to Vietnam Textile and Apparel Association Vice President, Domestic businesses have received full orders for the third quarter of this year and are negotiating to secure longterm contracts through 2019. Though the prices are likely to decline, the number of orders has been surging this year, especially with large-scale enterprises. However, there remain challenges facing local businesses ahead, including fiercer competition from regional countries such as China, Myanmar and Cambodia, he added. Centre s 28% Hike In Cotton MSP Expected to Ease Domestic Supply The recent hike in minimum support prices (MSPs) of cotton as a result of the Centre s decision to elevate the MSPs of Kharif crops is bound to have impact on the global markets as India is the largest cotton exporter. The hike in MSP of cotton is also expected to firm up cotton prices in the domestic markets. The MSP for cotton has witnessed a hike of 28%. To moderate situations of distress sales by assuring farmers of a fixed price the government intervenes in the market directly by setting up the MSP. This saves the farmer in the event the prices fall in the open market. The MSPs for crops are regularly announced before each summer and winter crop season. The increase in MSP of cotton will check the outflow from the country and result in adequate domestic supply for the season, said cotton traders. It will also in a big way chip the export of raw cotton. From the exporters front there was concern expressed on losing the cost advantage fetched in raw cotton. They were of the opinion that instead of putting the onus of MSP on traders, the government could directly pay the difference amount between the MSP and the market price to the farmers. H&M India Retail Chain Register 19% Growth A quantum leap of 19% in sales was registered by Hennes & Maurtiz (H&M), the Swedish fashion retail major, in India during the recently concluded six months. The contributing factors among others were new stores and lower priced goods than the competitors. In sharp contrast to previous May ending six months figure of INR 450 crore, in the currently concluded six month period, H&M sales registered INR 535 crore sales. This was disclosed by the financial report on its Web site. H&M happens to be the world s second largest clothing giant. It had earlier announced plans to open 50 retail stores in India by the year 2020, with an overall investment of INR 700 crore. Till May 2018, H&M had succeeded in opening 32 stores in India at a healthy average of one new store per month. On an average, each store that was newly opened generated revenue of INR 33 crore on an annual basis. This has helped H&M reach the best performance figure in the apparel sales sector.
BANGLADESH: Export fetches $36.66bn in FY18 The country s earnings from export exceeded the target by nearly 6 percent to reach $36.66 billion during the July-Jun period of the outgoing 2017-2018 fiscal, according to an Export Promotion Bureau data released on Wednesday. Bangladesh maintains the growth momentum largely on the back of garments, jute, jute goods, agricultural products, furniture, home textile and building materials. In June alone, export receipts stood at $3.03 billion, 3.08 percent less than the corresponding period in the last fiscal. The monthly target, however, decreased by 18.87 percent. Garments, which account for more than 83 percent of the total exports, logged in $30.61 billion in the last fiscal year, 8.76 percent more than the 2016-2017 fiscal. Knitwear exports went up 10.40 percent year-on-year to $15.19 billion in July-Jun while shipment of woven garments raised 7.18 percent to $15.42 billion. Home textiles brought in $878.68 million, growing 9.95 percent year-on-year. Exports of leather and leather goods, the second largest export earning sector after garments, dropped 12.03 percent year-on-year to $1.08 billion in the period. The segment dealt with a blow by a decline in leather shipment which shed 21.28 percent. Within the same category, exports of leather footwear grew 5.33 percent and leather products fell 27.48 percent. Export of cotton & cotton increased 14.03 percent year-on-year to $124.85 million from the same period a year ago. Export of jute and jute goods, another top earner, jumped 6.56 percent to $1.03 billion. In the category, jute yarn and twine saw their earnings rise 6.55 percent while shipment of raw jute decreased 7.24 percent and those of jute sacks and bags declined 3.69 percent. Export of frozen fish, live fish and shrimp decreased 3.42 percent to $508.43 million in the July-Jun of 2017-18. Export of building materials increased 233.90 percent to $1.97 million in the July-June period. Pharmaceuticals raked in $103.46 million in the July-June period, up 16.03 percent from the last fiscal.
INDIAN TEXTILE NEWS 25 Indian Punjab textile players to expand units in Bihar According to head of the Bihar unit of the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII, about 25 textile players from Punjab have decided to expand their units in Bihar and the state government has allocated 29 acres of land for that purpose, who recently facilitated a meeting of Bihar government officials with Ludhiana textile industrialists. The industrialists, however, will not be closing their units in Punjab, clarified a Ludhiana-based industrialist keen to expand in Bihar. The 25 players will invest over 2,000 crore in the textile cluster in Dehri on Sone in Bihar and nearly 25,000 will be employed in these units. The Punjab industrialists have also asked the Bihar government to reduce power tariff from 5 per unit to 4 per unit. Technical textiles industry to grow at 20% y-o-y According to Textile Commissioner, The technical textiles industry is slated to grow at 20 per cent y-o-y. She said that the technical textiles industry has huge growth potential and currently has a market size of Rs.1, 160 billion. She opined that while the ministry needs the industry s support to promote usage of textiles, the government is promoting the segment to ensure its realises its full potential. India s apparel exports downturn likely to continue The downturn in the export of apparel from India is likely to continue and is expected to decline by 10 per cent in 2018-19. In the previous year, apparel exports fell by four per cent to USD 16.7 billion. The Clothing Manufacturers Association of India (CMAI) president Rahul Mehta stated that India s apparel exports are declining since the implementation of the goods & services tax (GST). They further stated that the introduction of GST has resulted in nonrefund of several embedded taxes. Higher cotton MSP worries textiles sector Higher cotton minimum support prices have raised concerns for the textiles sector. According to Secretary of Indian Texpreneurs Federation, traders are sure that the rise in cotton MSP will eventually result in a higher average price for the current 2018-19 season, which is likely to near Rs.47,000 per candy (of 356 kg). Bombay Dyeing targets Rs.5 billion in revenues Bombay Dyeing has hired a consulting firm to help it plan its growth strategy and achieve exponential growth. The company aims to generate revenues of Rs.5 billion by March 2020, according to chief executive officer, retail, Bombay Dyeing. Along with this, the company will also expand its retail footprint. It will expand into tier II and III cities as there is a lot of demand from these cities. H&M announces one more store in Chennai (India) Swedish fast-fashion retailer H&M is all set to expand its retail presence in Indian city of Chennai by opening one more store there. The latest retail expansion by the retailer shows that it is keeping up well with its strategy to open at least one store a month in India, ever since its entry in Indian market in 2015. H&M India notably has on-average opened one outlet every month, which also has helped it gain a quick traction. Remarkably, it has achieved almost a 19 per cent increase in sales to Rs. 535 crore in the first six-months (December-May) this year, as compared to Rs. 450 crore during the same period a year ago.
Swedish clothing retailer has announced an investment of Rs. 700 crore to increase its store count to 50 by 2020 in India. Currently, it operates a total of 32 stores in India. Mumbai, Hyderabad, Pune, Indore, Amritsar, Delhi-NCR, Kolkata, Mohali, Coimbatore, Ahmedabad, Raipur, Chennai, Mysore, Bengalore, and Indore are major locations where retailer has its physical presence currently TEA urges textile mills to save knitwear garment export sector Tirupur Exporters Association (TEA) today urged textile mills to save the knitwear garment export sector as cotton yarn price increase by Rs 20 a kg had made it difficult to sustain themselves in a competitive global environment. According to TEA president, that the decline in exports for the second half yearly period of 2017-18 was 21 per cent, he said the most worrying factor was that the negative trend in exports growth was continuing in the current fiscal also. The average of knitwear exports in April and May was 34 per cent, he said. The sector was now only booking orders and that business has now started to look ahead and was poised to bring back the industry from the brink after a prolonged one year period lull, the increase in yarn prices now would derail the industry. This would lead to not only the sector getting affected, but also having a boomerang effect on textile mills. The TEA President said, he had already met Union Textiles Minister over the issue, with a request to mandate that Cotton Corporation of India ensure availability of enough quantity with desired quality to protect the interests of farmers, the textile industry and also to generate employment. The impact of the price increase has made textile mills increase yarn prices which ultimately affect downstream value added sectors like weaving, knitting, garmenting and made ups, particularly value added exporters, as they could not hike the price, fixed more than three to five months back. Apparel exports to decline by 10 per cent in FY19 due to GST According to senior industry official, India's apparel exports downturn may continue and is expected to decline by overall 10 per cent in FY19. In 2017-18 exports declined by 4 per cent to USD 16.7 billion. Country's apparel exports have taken a beating from October 2017 onwards. The introduction of GST has resulted in non-refund of several embedded taxes. Consequently exports for the financial year 2017-18 declined by 4 per cent to USD 16.7 billion from 17.38 billion in the previous year, said by the Clothing Manufacturers Association of India (CMAI) president. According to the Clothing Manufacturers Association of India (CMAI) president, the downturn continued in FY 2018-19 with a month on month decline of 8-10 per cent and it is expected to witness overall decline by 10 per cent in FY19. The country exports nearly 70 per cent of cotton garments and 20 per cent jump in cotton prices in last few months has also hit exports severely. The industry is having talks with the textile ministry and the government has assured that embedded taxes will be refunded through the drawback route. Due to presence of strong fundamentals, the domestic apparel market size of India is expected to grow at 11-12 per cent CAGR and reach about USD 160 billion by 2025 The domestic market size is dominated by ready-to-wear category, market size USD 56 billion, with 84 per cent share which is further growing at a CAGR of 10-11 per cent. The ready-to-stitch market currently at USD 11 billion is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7 per cent and reach about USD 20 billion in 2025. In order to boost domestic trade, CMAI is organising
a 67th national garment fair. Nearly 916 exhibitors in 986 stalls are displaying 1,087 brands The apparel trade show is expected to transact business worth Rs 700-800 crore, Mehta added.